In 2001, Bill Gates said this: “Within five years, I predict it will be the most popular form of PC sold in America.”
Five years later, IDC said this: “Tablet PCs accounted for just 1.5% of notebook PCs sold worldwide last year.” That’s not 1.5% of all PCs sold, that’s 1.5% of notebook PCs. Even Bill Gates was wrong.
By the end of 2008, when tablets already surpassed what the iPad is today in terms of hardware, Archos shipped less than 15,000 units of its Wi-Fi+3G tablet worldwide, which is telling. I personally know some people who bought one, only to never touch it again after two to three months of use because they “grew out of it.”
The point isn’t to cram as much technology into a tablet as physically possible. It’s far better to make the tablet really intuitive to use in a way that makes sense for that kind of form factor. Something both Microsoft and the majority of tablet makers out there fail to do. Yes, many tablets claim to offer the full “desktop experience” on a tablet, but that works in a counterintuitive way. If I wanted the desktop experience, I would use a desktop.
Tablet makers: please, don’t try to pump insane hardware specs into your tablets and bloat up prices. Design what makes sense for that form factor with a clear form-to-function goal in mind.